Research



Capital Markets Review

Current Issue: 4th Quarter 2025

Global equity markets and other risk assets delivered strong returns in 2025 despite periods of volatility. Early in the year, markets experienced significant volatility driven by tariff announcements and concerns about competition and profitability among companies developing artificial intelligence (AI) technologies. Uncertainty also came from a 43-day US government shutdown in Q4....
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Insights

Current Issue: 2026 Capital Market Assumptions

Every calendar year, RVK produces long-term, forward-looking capital market assumptions through a rigorous, multi-step process, which draws on both quantitative economic and financial inputs as well as qualitative comparisons and analysis. Our return estimates are generally based on return decomposition models, which consider factors such as income, future growth, valuation measures....
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